Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.822719 8.971554 10.249630 11.780225 13.567775 15.594595 18.074154
2025-01-26 6.457245 7.974153 9.805136 12.190692 15.235237 19.015324 24.102186
2025-02-02 5.586100 7.277807 9.444875 12.449955 16.549198 22.003068 29.904613
2025-02-09 5.061206 6.889135 9.348046 12.939349 18.120478 25.431520 36.720424
2025-02-16 4.407814 6.216623 8.748687 12.607978 18.440674 27.087276 41.179581
2025-02-23 3.950466 5.750415 8.361343 12.496656 19.015918 29.126804 46.450217
2025-03-02 3.574147 5.351948 8.014568 12.381015 19.534818 31.100251 51.856820
2025-03-09 3.240845 4.978146 7.656431 12.189778 19.883572 32.807763 57.026482
2025-03-16 2.936628 4.616101 7.274073 11.904934 20.022973 34.151667 61.715389
2025-03-23 2.830564 4.558496 7.369824 12.420191 21.584774 38.153193 71.916392
2025-03-30 2.668921 4.391905 7.265258 12.570997 22.504178 41.094145 80.521293
2025-04-06 2.483618 4.167270 7.038424 12.474333 22.945638 43.175949 87.700099
2025-04-13 2.303627 3.939080 6.789407 12.319687 23.276158 45.120999 95.006716
2025-04-20 2.228669 3.889605 6.853415 12.759293 24.825120 49.730635 108.984121
2025-04-27 2.136551 3.800102 6.834299 13.032822 26.067110 53.867089 122.635779
2025-05-04 2.082513 3.775501 6.932633 13.547772 27.874721 59.478932 140.883442
2025-05-11 1.928977 3.549797 6.625308 13.199150 27.772677 60.793453 148.643963
2025-05-18 1.815839 3.392723 6.438263 13.082041 28.167607 63.306221 159.985608
2025-05-25 1.712001 3.245573 6.258174 12.960395 28.535451 65.802220 171.764636
2025-06-01 1.608782 3.091696 6.051542 12.759239 28.692251 67.800871 182.550166
2025-06-08 1.504536 2.928029 5.811547 12.459653 28.577628 69.099098 191.573543
2025-06-15 1.485648 2.938006 5.935912 13.001604 30.588540 76.191927 219.445592
2025-06-22 1.433523 2.874435 5.897560 13.160246 31.657117 80.938724 241.109884